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US payroll slowdown tempers rate hike risk

Softer labor market eases Fed angst Even before the September employment data was released on Friday, downward revisions to the PCE price deflator helped alleviate the sense of urgency for an October Fed hike that had previously permeated the market. After the labor market update, the implied probability of an October hike fell to about 15%, meaning a hike at the next meeting would now be a...

Market News

Fed likely to stay on hold through year-end

Fed likely to stay on hold through year-end

More reassuring inflation news One month never makes a trend, which is why June’s excellent inflation report had to be read primarily as relief after a stretch of elevated readings. Two months will...

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Labor weakness argues against Fed hikes

Labor weakness argues against Fed hikes

No pre-emption needed Last week we noted that the three dissents in favor of an immediate rate hike all implicitly viewed that hike as a pre-emptive move aimed to avoid larger/faster hikes down the...

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CalTRUST Update

Post Federal Reserve Meeting Q&A

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh held a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management’s Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to reflect on this week’s Federal Reserve meeting:

Post Fed Q&A September 2026

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh Kitson had a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management’s Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to...

Post Fed Q&A July 2026

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh Kitson had a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management’s Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to...

Post Fed Q&A June 2026

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh Kitson had a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management's Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait...

Post Fed Q&A April 2026

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh Kitson had a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management's Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to...

Post Fed Q&A March 2026

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh Kitson had a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management's Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to...

Speakers: Laura and Will

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