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US industry shows signs of revival

Industrial revival afoot Over the last several months, we’ve highlighted three main “sub-plots” in the broader US macro narrative: resilient growth, gradually easing inflation, and softening labor market. To these, we can perhaps add another: a gradual yet...

CalTRUST Update

Post Federal Reserve Meeting Q&A

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh had a brief Q&A with State Street Global Advisors’ Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to reflect on this week’s Federal Reserve meeting:

Market News

Fed dissent signals policy shift ahead

Fed dissent signals policy shift ahead

It wasn’t really a surprise, but it may well have been a mistake. The FOMC decided to once again leave the Fed Funds rate unchanged at 4.25–4.50%, where it has been since December. But unlike prior...

Fed on hold, but for how long?

Fed on hold, but for how long?

The Fed remains on hold amid modest inflation gains and political noise around Chair Powell. Fed on hold for now, but not for much longer The June CPI data was the week’s main macro data event, but...

The wait may be over soon
The wait may be over soon

The long wait for the resumption of Fed rate cuts may be soon over. Almost irrespective of the next payrolls report, there is enough softness in broader labor market data to warrant a modest reduction in the Fed Funds rate. Whatever objections there are to such a move...

Welcome Jackson Hole developments
Welcome Jackson Hole developments

The Fed Chair’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium is always acutely relevant for investors, and it proved so once again this year. There were always going to be two key parts to this: the short-term outlook, on one hand, and changes to the policy framework, on the...

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