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US industry shows signs of revival

Industrial revival afoot Over the last several months, we’ve highlighted three main “sub-plots” in the broader US macro narrative: resilient growth, gradually easing inflation, and softening labor market. To these, we can perhaps add another: a gradual yet...

CalTRUST Update

Post Federal Reserve Meeting Q&A

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh had a brief Q&A with State Street Global Advisors’ Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to reflect on this week’s Federal Reserve meeting:

Market News

Inflation Report Surprises Fade Rate Cut Prospects

The hotter than expected February CPI data had faded the odds of a May rate cut. The hotter than expected March CPI data has greatly faded not only the odds of a June cut (with market odds now just...

Macro Resilience Continues

The US economy continues to generate jobs at a seemingly relentless pace as payrolls grew by a much better than expected 303k in March. The upside surprise was notable, yet in line with the labor...

Inflation Continues to Dominate Market Action

Inflation and geopolitical fears continue to dominate market action. In the midst of a veritable “tsunami of hawkishness”, our latest opinion piece is a reminder that US inflation and labor market...

No Need For Fed To Skip December Cut
No Need For Fed To Skip December Cut

The consumer price data for October came in as expected, with overall prices rising 0.2% m/m and core prices (ex food and energy) up 0.3% m/m. This lifted the headline inflation rate by two tenths to 2.6% y/y while leaving the core inflation rate unchanged at 3.3%...

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