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US industry shows signs of revival

Industrial revival afoot Over the last several months, we’ve highlighted three main “sub-plots” in the broader US macro narrative: resilient growth, gradually easing inflation, and softening labor market. To these, we can perhaps add another: a gradual yet...

CalTRUST Update

Post Federal Reserve Meeting Q&A

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh had a brief Q&A with State Street Global Advisors’ Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to reflect on this week’s Federal Reserve meeting:

Market News

Welcome downshift in US inflation

Welcome downshift in US inflation

The very good May inflation report was followed by an even better June inflation report, such that—if not for the unfortunate shift to a single rate cut in the June FOMC Summary of Economic...

US Unemployment Rises

US Unemployment Rises

Less than two months ago, the prevailing sentiment among many economic observers was that the US economy is “booming” and that high interest rates were doing little to restrain growth. A...

The Problem With Too Long of a Fed Delay?

The latest round of inflation reports has led the Federal Reserve to lower expectations about potential rate cuts. But how long should the Fed wait? We share our views on why a first cut this summer...

US Labor Market Argues for December Rate Cut
US Labor Market Argues for December Rate Cut

There was a lot of anxious anticipation ahead of the November employment report given this was supposed to provide a cleaner view of the labor market health following a very weak weather-distorted October report. A weak print could have reignited concerns about the...

Shifting Sands in US Housing Market
Shifting Sands in US Housing Market

Amid the high mortgage rates of the past couple of years, whatever meager housing market activity still occurred was heavily concentrated in the new home segment. This was a space where builders had some leeway to tweak building specifications toward smaller footage...

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