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US industry shows signs of revival

Industrial revival afoot Over the last several months, we’ve highlighted three main “sub-plots” in the broader US macro narrative: resilient growth, gradually easing inflation, and softening labor market. To these, we can perhaps add another: a gradual yet unmistakable revival in industrial activity. After an extensive period of weakness spanning 2023–2024, US industrial production returned to...

Market News

US real GDP cools sharply in Q4 2025

US real GDP cools sharply in Q4 2025

Slowdown into year-end Following torrid growth in the second and third quarters, real GDP growth slowed markedly in the fourth under the combined influence of the government shutdown and a greatly...

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Mixed data does not preclude rate cuts

Mixed data does not preclude rate cuts

It is rare that the two marquee macro reports for the US economy—the employment and inflation data—are released in the same week. They were this week, and, at least on the surface, offered divergent...

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Fed holds steady amid rising labor concerns

Fed holds steady amid rising labor concerns

The Fed signals caution with two dissents for cuts Dovish hold, hawkish nomination? As widely anticipated, the FOMC held the Fed Funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% at the January meeting. Still, the...

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CalTRUST Update

Post Federal Reserve Meeting Q&A

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh held a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management’s Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to reflect on this week’s Federal Reserve meeting:

Post Fed Q&A January 2026

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh Kitson had a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management's Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to...

Post Fed Q&A December 2025

Laura: So, what did the Fed do? I heard there were dissents! Drama?Will: The FOMC lowered the target range by 25bp. No surprise. Although a month ago it would have been a big surprise. Chair Powell was asked about this in today’s press conference (the move from...

Post Fed Q&A October 2025

As part of our initiative to bring timely market information to California public agencies, CalTRUST Chief Executive Officer Laura Labanieh Kitson had a brief Q&A with State Street Investment Management's Vice President, Portfolio Strategist Will Goldthwait to...

Post Fed Q&A September 2025

Laura: What did the Fed do, and should I panic?Will: They cut rates 25 bps to 4–4¼%—think of it as an “insurance cut,” not a fire alarm. Policy’s been restrictive, but with revised job numbers and higher uncertainty, the balance of risks has tilted toward labor‑market...

Post Fed Q&A July 2025

Laura: What’s the Fed’s current stance on interest rates and the economy?Will: The Fed held rates steady at 4.25–4.50%, basically telling the markets: “We’re good… for now.” Think of it like a nervous parent waiting to see if their kid actually studied...

Speakers: Laura and Will
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White Paper

Exploring Variable vs Constant NAV Investment Options

Understanding the differences between stable or constant net asset value (CNAV) and floating or variable net asset value (VNAV) funds, the benefits and challenges.

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